Article Complete
AIM
By 2030, OpenAI Will Have 220 Million Paying Users, But Still Won't Make Money: Reports
By 2030, OpenAI Will Have 220 Million Paying Users, But Still Won't Make Money: Reports
Profitable Unicorn Dreams

By 2030, OpenAI Will Have 220 Million Paying Users, But Still Won't Make Money: Reports

HSBC states that OpenAI will not be profitable by 2030 and will need at least $207 billion in computing capacity to ensure its growth. 

Published Updated

Key takeaways

  • Project OpenAI aims for 220 million paying users by 2030, yet remains unprofitable.
  • HSBC estimates OpenAI will require $207 billion in computing capacity for future growth.
  • Microsoft's investment in OpenAI has led to significant financial losses, totaling $3.1 billion in Q1 2026.
  • ChatGPT's user base may reach 3 billion weekly users by 2030, with 10% expected to be paying customers.
  • OpenAI's anticipated annual revenue could hit $20 billion by the end of this year.
5 min

OpenAI is projected to have at least 220 million ChatGPT users with paid subscriptions, The Information reported, citing a source familiar with the matter.

According to reports, ChatGPT currently has 800 million weekly active users, and The Information noted that as of July, 35 million users were paying for the $20 per month Plus or $200 per month plans. 

OpenAI’s annual revenue, as reported by Reuters, is expected to reach $20 billion by the end of this year. 

Along these lines, a recent update from HSBC’s US service team, as reported by The Financial Times, projected that ChatGPT will reach 3 billion weekly users by 2030. 

And it also estimates that by this year, 10% of these users will be paying customers, totalling 300 million, higher than the number OpenAI projected. 

However, HSBC also states that the company will not be profitable by 2030 and will need at least $207 billion in computing capacity to ensure its growth. 

Given Microsoft's 27% stake in OpenAI, its quarterly filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) revealed how much it loses on its investment. 

In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, Microsoft’s net income was reduced by $3.1 billion due to losses recognised on its OpenAI investment.

Microsoft has committed $13 billion to OpenAI and has already paid $11.6 billion. 

The investment is treated as an equity stake, and Microsoft records its share of OpenAI’s profits or losses under “other income (expense), net.”

Based on Microsoft’s filings, The Register noted that if Microsoft holds a 27% stake in OpenAI and reported a $3.1 billion loss from that investment in a single quarter, this would imply that OpenAI’s total loss for the quarter would be roughly $11.5 billion.

Membership

Stay ahead with AI insights.

Unlimited access to premium articles, exclusive analysis, and the stories shaping India's AI economy.

Subscribe now

AIM Americas

1190 Miraloma Way Suite P, Sunnyvale, CA 94085

AIM India

1st Floor, Sakti Statesman, Bellandur, Bengaluru – 560103

© 2026 AIM. All rights reserved.