Open AI’s analysis highlighted the major factors which are driving innovation in artificial intelligence today. Some of the key indicators of the trend are data, algorithmic advances and computing power. The non-profit AI research company’s latest analysis showcased that the amount of computing power used for training AI models has increased significantly – it has gone up to 3.5 month-doubling time, as compared to Moore’s Law 18-month doubling period. The analysis reveals that since 2012, this metric has grown by 300,000 times which led key progress in applications such as speech recognition, computer vision, pattern recognition among others.
Another key insight from the analysis is that even though algorithmic innovation and data is difficult to track, computing power, thanks to the arrival of GPUs and TPUs, can be quantified. It therefore helps understand the measure of AI progress due to compute. This trend represents an increase by roughly a factor of 10 each year. This growth has largely been driven by custom hardware which allows more operations to be performed per second for a given price (GPUs and TPUs).
AI Computing Boom Will Turn Into Three Way Race
This computing boom also led to many Deep Learning innovations — CNNs (Convolutional Neural Networks) and RNNs (Recurrent Neural Networks). The next wave of progress will come from Generative Adversarial Nets (GANs) and Reinforcement Learning, with some help thrown in from Question Answering Machines (QAMs) like IBM Watson. As already mentioned by Nitin Srivastava in an earlier interview with Analytics India Magazine, gradually, the AI computing race will turn into a race of three:- High Performance Computing (HPC)
- Neuromorphic Computing (NC)
- Quantum Computing (QC)


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